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10/23/2010

Foreclosure or Deed in Lieu or Short Sale for Laguna?

WHEN IS MY HOUSE GOING TO BE WORTH WHAT I PAID in 2006?
More foreclosures coming in Laguna Beach October 23 2010 some with ocean views like mine:


Y Place 3 bed 3 bath $1,103,000.
Seacliff Drive 4 bed 5 bath $ 8,250,00.
Saling Way 2 bed 2 bath $355,794.
Oriole Drive $767,520.
Cliff Drive $968,379.


CORPORATIONS ARE MORE PROFITABLE THAN IN THE PAST TEN YEARS. They are not adding new talent. They ought to be buying infrastructure when the economy is cheap but they are holding off. GDP is shaping to look more positive.









Industrial Production also is improving slowly.



Retail for certain sectors is rising. Take a look at an Apple Store, they are busy. Very hgh end retail such as Tiffany's will be busy for Christmas. Stores in Laguna Beach like Stella's closed this week. Pinky Wear in Dana Point closed up shop on a Sunday night and "they go in the night" leaving the place stripped with no relocation sign. Cheaper fast food with a five dollar lunch is also coming back up; however, every great restaurant in Orange County is struggling. I pray that Jack's in Dana Point, Mayur in Corona Del Mar, Dana  Kai in Laguna Niguel and Daria in Costa Mesa weather the storm.  


CALIFORNIA HAS POCKETS OF HOPE and Areas still with Black Clouds ahead.





Everyone around me is timid. The lady at Happy Nails talks about taking Prozac.
SORRY BUT WE ARE NOT IN A RECESSION. WE ARE NOT IN A DOUBLE DIP. We are at year three of THE THIRD GREAT DEPRESSION.

The good news----we are pulling out of it. We will have slow growth for two more years but my house value is not coming back until 2017

I invested $1,800,000. in my house in price and improvements It is worth $940,000. today. Loss of $860,000.00 cash. Payments are $ 7600 month or $91,200 annual. If I make the payment eight years three months I might break even.

LOWEST HOUSING STARTS SINCE THE GI BILL. Why? You can buy a house inland Orange County for $240000. Now. You can buy a house in Laguna Beach for $ 400000. You can buy a three bedroom house in Riverside for $100000. A builder can not sell a new house for $100000.

SO WHAT TO ALL THOSE BORING GRAPHS TELL US:
CALIFORNIA FORECLOSURES CONTINUE WITH
INLAND AREAS HIT THE MOST

Properties with view seem to fair better
Unsold new housing inventory is declining because nothing new is being created



CALIFORNIA NEEDS JOB RECOVERY. Recovery HAS NOT BEGUN for Service/ Retail/ high tech/ entry level/white collar/ etc. employment. There are few postings for jobs from $60000.- $90,000. Companies are making their employees work longer hours and no claim overtime. Employees do not ask for raises and do not move to seek advancement because they are often stuck in their upside down home. Companies are not offering transfer packages to employees to buy out their upside down home. More foreclosures are on the way before the summer.


SO WHAT TO I DO WITH MY HOUSE?




























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1 comment:

  1. Good post. I agree for the most part.
    There are many underlining issues here.
    It is the start of a great and global depression. It will continue to get worse when you have large governments like the US continuing to talk like it's for the consumer but only take actions that will create more federal government and reward the mega wealthy and institutions that put us here.
    It is far worse than the numbers show. Most independent economists agree the governments numbers on unemployment are way off. Also they do not even take into account the number of underemployed. The people with a masters degree working at Starbucks etc.
    The economy looks better as a whole than it actually is because entitlements and free money from the govt. that can not continue have grown, and billions of dollars are being pumped into the economy from the private sector who have decided to continue their inflated consumption to support a lifestyle they have grown accustomed to rather than paying their mortgage.

    Doing the right thing over the legal thing. Is something that is becoming less and less important. When we see Wall St., Blue Chip companies, banks and the like doing it, and the guy across the street, it does cause one to ponder.

    Twitter/Hardmoney

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